IESET.
Movements·australia_gillard_alp_2010_2013

Gillard ALP minority government (Australia)

AUS·2010 – 2013·ALP minority government with Greens (Bandt) and Independents (Oakeshott, Windsor, Wilkie) under written agreements post-2010 hung parliament
Leaders: Julia Gillard (Prime Minister 24 Jun 2010 - 27 Jun 2013) · Wayne Swan (Treasurer and Deputy PM) · Kevin Rudd (Foreign Minister 2010-2012, returned as PM 27 Jun 2013) · Glenn Stevens (RBA Governor) · Martin Parkinson (Treasury Secretary from 2011)
positionsnew_keynesianeco_socialistsocial_democratic

Doctrine — stated goals and content

ALP-Greens-Independents minority agenda delivering the carbon-price package, NDIS groundwork, plain-packaging tobacco, and MRRT mining-tax revision. Economic school: centre-left reformist — Clean Energy Future legislated Nov 2011 with A$23/tonne fixed carbon price from 1 Jul 2012 transitioning to ETS; Minerals Resource Rent Tax (22.5% effective on iron ore and coal) replacing RSPT, enacted 19 Mar 2012 from 1 Jul 2012; Tobacco Plain Packaging Act enacted 1 Dec 2011 (world-first); National Disability Insurance Scheme Act 21 Mar 2013 with launch trials 1 Jul 2013; Gonski school-funding review (Feb 2012) and National Plan for School Improvement Jun 2013; means-testing of private health insurance rebate (2012); 457 visa tightening 2013. Dated policies: Clean Energy Act 18 Nov 2011; MRRT 19 Mar 2012; Plain Packaging Act 1 Dec 2011; NDIS Act 21 Mar 2013; Fair Work Amendment Act 2012. Left- right: centre-left, progressive on environment/health/disability, fiscally trying to maintain surplus trajectory (abandoned Dec 2012). Popularity: 2010 election 50.12% 2PP (hung parliament); Gillard approval sank below 30% late 2012; Rudd challenges Feb 2012 (failed) and Jun 2013 (succeeded); Abbott's Coalition won Sep 2013 53.5% 2PP. Coherence: high on progressive legislation pillar despite hung parliament; coherence undermined by visible leadership instability and Rudd-Gillard backgrounding.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↑
environmental stringency
regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
increased · strong
more stringent environmental rules
Clean Energy Future package imposed A$23/t carbon price July 2012, covering ~60% emissions.
↑
tax corporate
fiscal.tax_corporate
Statutory and effective corporate tax rates, treatment of depreciation, and international competitiveness.
increased · moderate
higher corporate tax burden
MRRT levied 22.5% effective rate on iron ore/coal super-profits from 1 Jul 2012.
↑
transfer expansion
fiscal.transfer_expansion
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
increased · moderate
larger transfer footprint
NDIS legislated as major ongoing disability-entitlement scheme.
—
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
unchanged · weak
Plain-packaging tightening on tobacco branding; mixed elsewhere.
↓
immigration openness
regulatory.immigration_openness
Immigration policy openness — work visas, family reunification, asylum processing, border enforcement posture.
decreased · weak
more restrictive (lower caps, tighter enforcement)
457 visa tightening and offshore-processing Malaysia solution (struck down by HCA 2011).

Policies enacted

What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses

The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.

not yet written
carbon_price_emissions_effect
not yet written
mining_super_profits_tax_effect

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
new_keynesian
Counter-cyclical fiscal stance; post-GFC consolidation attempted.
aligned
eco_socialist
Clean Energy Future is canonical carbon-pricing/renewable push.
aligned
social_democratic
NDIS, Gonski, plain-packaging expand social/regulatory state.

References

Notes

Carbon price fully repealed 17 Jul 2014 under Abbott; movement captures enactment not subsequent repeal.