IESET.
Movements·chad_deby_transition_fifth_republic_2021_present

Deby transition and Fifth Republic fiscal stabilization 2021-present

TCD·2021 – present·Transitional Military Council and Patriotic Salvation Movement (MPS)
Leaders: Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno (transition president and president, 2021-present) · Succes Masra (Prime Minister, 2024) · Allamaye Halina (Prime Minister, 2024-present)

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Chad's post-2021 governing project moved from military transition to the Fifth Republic while seeking to stabilize oil-linked public finances after debt and security shocks. It combines a constitutional referendum, G20/Common Framework debt treatment, and a new IMF ECF with continued central control over security and fiscal policy.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↑
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
increased · weak
stronger rule of law
The 2023 constitution restored a formal post-transition constitutional framework.
↓
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
decreased · moderate
lower spending share
Debt treatment and the 2024 ECF target debt sustainability, arrears control, and expenditure discipline.
↑
property rights
institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
increased · weak
stronger property rights
The debt-treatment framework formalized creditor claims and contingency clauses after oil-revenue shocks.

Policies enacted

References