IESET.
Movements·djibouti_guelleh_vision2035_logistics_state_2014_present

Djibouti Guelleh Vision 2035 logistics state 2014-present

DJI·2014 – present·Union for the Presidential Majority
Leaders: Ismail Omar Guelleh (President, 1999-) · Abdoulkader Kamil Mohamed (Prime Minister, 2013-2024) · Ilyas Moussa Dawaleh (Minister of Economy and Finance)

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Djibouti's current policy regime uses Vision Djibouti 2035 to turn its port, rail, free-zone, and basing geography into a logistics-led development model. The same regime now pairs state-led infrastructure and public-enterprise strategy with IMF-backed fiscal, debt, and SOE reforms after a debt buildup tied to earlier mega-projects.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

~
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
mixed · strong
Vision 2035 infrastructure raised public investment while the ECF and SOE reforms restrain debt and fiscal risk.
↑
sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · moderate
expanded sectoral subsidies
The logistics strategy concentrates state support in ports, rail, free zones, and transport corridors.
↑
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · moderate
more open trade
Port, free-zone, and corridor investments increase trade facilitation and re-export capacity.
↑
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
increased · weak
stronger rule of law
PFM, debt, and SOE governance reforms increase reporting and fiscal oversight requirements.

Policies enacted

References