Pragmatic-liberal post-Correa normalisation inside the binding constraint of dollarisation. Elected in Apr 2017 as Correa's designated successor on the Alianza PAIS ticket with 51.16% in the runoff, Moreno broke publicly with Correa within months and used the Feb 2018 referendum (seven questions, all approved 64-73%) to bar indefinite presidential re-election, restructure the Consejo de Participación Ciudadana, and re-open the judicial and electoral appointments that Correísmo had consolidated. Economic doctrine pivoted to IMF re-engagement: an Extended Fund Facility of USD 4.2bn was signed in Mar 2019, with a larger USD 6.5bn EFF in Sep 2020 after the pandemic shock. The Oct 2019 attempt to eliminate fuel subsidies via Decreto 883 triggered 12 days of indigenous-led riots (CONAIE) and was reversed; fiscal consolidation continued through public-payroll cuts, a 2020 external debt restructuring (~USD 17.4bn), and renewed trade engagement (Pacific Alliance associate, FTA talks). Institutional tone was de-concentration relative to Correísmo. Popularity collapsed after Oct 2019 and pandemic management — exit approval in single digits — and the movement did not carry a successor in 2021 (Arauz defeated in runoff by Lasso). Coherent as a post-populist IMF-anchored correction rather than a doctrinal program.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
Independence of the judiciary from executive and legislative encroachment. Specifically captures court-packing, selective prosecution, judicial reshuffles.
increased · moderate
stronger judicial independence
2018 referendum restructured CPCCS and re-opened judicial council appointments Correa had consolidated.