Movements·peru_ppk_2016_2018 Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (PPK) — technocratic centre-right, OECD path, Odebrecht resignation
PER·2016 – 2018·Peruanos por el Kambio (minority; Fujimorist-dominated Congress)
Leaders: Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (President 2016-Mar 2018) · Alfredo Thorne (Finance 2016-2017) · Fernando Zavala (Finance 2017, PM 2016-2017) · Claudia Cooper (Finance 2017-2018)
Doctrine — stated goals and content
PPK's abbreviated presidency was a technocratic centre-right project aiming at OECD accession + formalisation, defeated by Odebrecht-era congressional warfare. (a) Economic school: centre-right market-liberal + technocratic + OECD-accession-aligned — lowered VAT stated ambition (never enacted), simplified business regulation (Decreto de Urgencia creation packages), earthquake + coastal El Niño reconstruction Jan-Mar 2017 (ARCC Authority created Apr 2017), Odebrecht plea-bargain fallout investigation + first-ever presidential impeachment proceedings. (b) Left-right: centre-right; market-liberal, pro-investment, OECD path. (c) Dated policies: Reconstrucción con Cambios ARCC Apr 2017, legislative- decree package Dec 2016 (Decretos Legislativos 1278-1360), Kenji-pardon- Alberto-Fujimori Dec 2017 (Humanitarian pardon of Alberto Fujimori), congressional impeachment motion Dec 2017 (survived 78-8), Odebrecht payment disclosures, second impeachment motion March 2018 PPK resigned 21 Mar 2018 before vote. (d) Popularity: won Jun 2016 runoff by 0.24% (50.12%) vs Keiko Fujimori; approval peaked ~60% early, collapsed to ~19% by Mar 2018 on Fujimori-pardon + Odebrecht disclosures; Vizcarra (VP) assumed presidency 23 Mar 2018. (e) Coherence: low — minority government, hostile Fujimorist Congress, and PPK's own Odebrecht advisory-payment history made any structural reform impossible; earthquake reconstruction + Fujimori-pardon dominated substantive governance.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
↑
spending level →fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · weak
higher spending share
ARCC reconstruction package ~USD 8bn multi-year; fiscal-rule deficit widening allowed.
↑
product market competition →regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · weak
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Dec 2016 legislative-decree package simplified business-licensing + tax-procedure rules.
↓
rule of law →institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
decreased · weak
weaker rule of law
Alberto Fujimori humanitarian pardon contested as rule-of-law setback after 2009 conviction.
↑
trade openness →regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · weak
more open trade
OECD accession roadmap + Pacific Alliance continuation.
Policies enacted
- · pe_arcc_reconstruction_authority_2017
- · pe_ppk_legislative_decree_package_2016
- · pe_alberto_fujimori_humanitarian_pardon_2017
- · pe_ppk_oecd_accession_roadmap_2016_2018
What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses
The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.
not yet writtenminority_government_reform_capacity
not yet writtencommodity_investment_climate
Schools of thought aligned or opposed
References
- Decretos Legislativos 1278-1360 (Dec 2016)
- Decreto Supremo 091-2017-PCM (ARCC)
- Proinversión + OECD accession working-group reports
Notes
Interrupted presidency — resigned 21 Mar 2018 before second impeachment vote.