Movements·sudan_post_bashir_transition_conflict_state_2019_present

Sudan post-Bashir transition and conflict-era state management

SDN·2019 – present·Transitional civilian-military authorities, then fragmented wartime state institutions

Leaders: Abdel Fattah al-Burhan (Sovereign Council chair and SAF commander) · Abdalla Hamdok (Prime Minister, 2019-2021) · Sudan Armed Forces-aligned wartime authorities after 2023

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Sudan's post-Bashir governing regime moved from a civilian-military transition promising peace, debt relief, and macroeconomic normalization into a fragmented wartime institutional order after the 2021 coup and 2023 conflict. The movement is coded as a transition-and-conflict state-management sequence: peace-agreement incorporation, exchange-rate and debt-relief reform, and constrained humanitarian-access decisions under wartime sovereignty claims.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

rule of law

institutional.rule_of_law

Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.

mixed · weak

Peace-agreement and humanitarian-access frameworks added formal channels, but coups and war left enforcement fragmented.

↑

product market competition

regulatory.product_market_competition

Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.

increased · moderate

more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)

Exchange-rate unification reduced multiple-rate allocation rents.

↑

trade openness

regulatory.trade_openness

Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.

increased · weak

more open trade

Exchange-rate reform and Adre reopening supported formal trade and humanitarian flows.

↑

transfer expansion

fiscal.transfer_expansion

Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.

increased · weak

larger transfer footprint

Juba wealth-sharing commitments and humanitarian-access authorization expanded promised relief and reconstruction channels.

Policies enacted

· sdn_juba_peace_agreement_2020
· sdn_exchange_rate_unification_2021
· sdn_adre_humanitarian_crossing_reopening_2024

References

Juba Peace Agreement for Peace in Sudan, 2020.
IMF and World Bank materials on Sudan exchange-rate unification and HIPC decision point, 2021.
UN OCHA and UN Security Council reporting on Adre humanitarian access, 2024-2025.

Notes

Sudan is treated as a fragmented transition/conflict policy regime. The entry should not be read as a coherent nationwide implementation claim.