IESET.
Movements·uk_starmer_labour_2024_present

Starmer Labour government (UK)

GBR·2024present·Labour majority (411 seats on 33.7% vote share — largest UK seat majority since 1997, lowest vote share for a majority in modern era)
Leaders: Keir Starmer (PM, July 2024 – ) · Rachel Reeves (Chancellor, July 2024 – ) · Angela Rayner (Deputy PM & Housing Secretary) · Ed Miliband (Energy Secretary)
positionssocial_democraticempirical_pragmatistaustrian

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Draws from Blairite Third Way social-democracy updated with a 'securonomics' / modern supply-side framing (Reeves), emphasising growth-through-investment, active industrial policy, and repair of public services — an explicit departure from New Labour's deference to footloose finance and from Corbyn-era redistributive socialism. Positioned on the centre-left — fiscally rules-bound (revised fiscal rule targeting net financial debt rather than PSND; debt must fall as share of GDP in fifth year), regulatorily activist on planning and workers' rights, green-industrial in sectoral policy. Key measures: Budget 30 October 2024 (employer NI rate up 1.2pp to 15% and threshold lowered; capital gains rate increases; inheritance tax extended to pensions and agricultural property; £40bn tax-raising package with £70bn additional spending); Employment Rights Bill 2024-25 (day-one unfair-dismissal rights, ban on exploitative zero-hours contracts, fire-and-rehire restrictions); Great British Energy founding legislation; National Planning Policy Framework revision December 2024 (mandatory housing targets restored, grey-belt release); Renters' Rights Act; nationalisation of passenger rail via Passenger Railway Services (Public Ownership) Act 2024; VAT on private school fees from 1 January 2025. Entered with 33.7% vote share (lowest winning share in modern era); approval declined sharply in first six months (winter-fuel payment withdrawal, farmer protests, Partygate-echo scandals), with net approval turning negative by November 2024 and Labour polling at or below Reform UK through early 2026. Programme is mostly internally coherent on supply-side/planning but fractured on the fiscal side — rules-based restraint colliding with the spending demands of the 'change' mandate.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · strong
higher spending share
Budget 2024 added ~£70bn/year spending; revised fiscal rule targeting net financial debt expanded borrowing headroom for investment.
tax progressivity
fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
increased · moderate
more progressive (higher top rates, wider spread, larger targeted credits)
Capital-gains rises, IHT extension, VAT on private school fees are progressive in incidence.
tax capital
fiscal.tax_capital
Taxation of capital income (dividends, capital gains, inheritance, wealth). Distinct from corporate rate.
increased · moderate
higher capital income tax
CGT rate increases and IHT extensions to pensions/agricultural property.
labour market flexibility
regulatory.labour_market_flexibility
Ease of hiring/firing, collective-bargaining scope, minimum wage rigidity, temporary/permanent contract regulation.
decreased · strong
less flexible (stronger employment protection)
Day-one unfair-dismissal rights, zero-hours restrictions, fire-and-rehire curbs, sectoral bargaining in adult social care.
environmental stringency
regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
increased · strong
more stringent environmental rules
Clean Power 2030 plan, GB Energy, reinstated onshore wind consenting, and water-sector special measures.
~
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
mixed · moderate
NPPF revision lowers planning-side entry barriers in housing, while rail public ownership, renters' rights, tobacco/vapes restrictions, and water regulation tighten sector rules.
sectoral licensing
regulatory.sectoral_licensing
Sector-specific licensing regimes, concentration / quota allocation, state-controlled entry (energy, telecoms, healthcare, banking).
increased · moderate
tighter sectoral licensing / more state gating
Rail public ownership and Water Special Measures tighten sector-specific state gating and operating constraints.
energy supply security
regulatory.energy_supply_security
Policy posture toward energy supply security — domestic production capacity, import diversification, strategic reserves, nuclear stance, fossil-fuel mix discipline.
increased · moderate
higher supply-security posture (diversified, strategic reserves)
Clean Power 2030 plan prioritises domestic clean generation, grid connection reform, and flexible capacity to reduce fossil-fuel exposure.
sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
Great British Energy capitalisation, National Wealth Fund public finance, and expanded industrial strategy spending envelopes.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

References