Movements·us_trump_tcja_2017 Trump Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
USA·2017 – 2025·Republican (Trump + Republican Congress)
Leaders: Donald Trump · Paul Ryan (Speaker) · Kevin Brady (Ways & Means) · Gary Cohn (NEC)
Doctrine — stated goals and content
Large corporate tax cut (35% → 21%), individual rate reductions, territorial corporate taxation, SALT deduction cap, 100% bonus depreciation. Stated case: boost corporate investment + repatriation, reduce compliance burden. Deficit effect ~$1.5T over 10 yrs; growth effect smaller than advertised in studies.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
↓
tax corporate →fiscal.tax_corporate
Statutory and effective corporate tax rates, treatment of depreciation, and international competitiveness.
decreased · strong
lower corporate tax burden
35% → 21% federal corporate rate, largest cut since 1986.
↓
tax progressivity →fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
decreased · moderate
less progressive (flatter rates, compression, smaller credits)
Top individual rate 39.6% → 37%; SALT cap partly offsetting for high-income coastal residents.
—
trade openness →regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
unchanged
Policies enacted
- · us_tcja_corporate_tax_cut_2017
- · us_tcja_salt_cap_2017
- · us_tcja_individual_cuts_2017
What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses
The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.
not yet writtenus_reagan_tax_cuts_growth_effect
Schools of thought aligned or opposed
References
- Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 2017 (Public Law 115-97)
- CBO Budget and Economic Outlook 2018-2028