Heterodox Peronist recovery stitching together commodity boom, debt haircut, transfer expansion, and institutional reset. Five doctrinal pillars: (a) Debt restructuring 2005 — 14 Jan to 25 Feb 2005 exchange offer on ~$82B defaulted bonds at 65% haircut; 76% acceptance; holdouts 24% (~$20B) excluded, setting up later vulture-fund litigation (Macri-era settlement 2016). (b) IMF early repayment 15 December 2005 — $9.8B cancelled in full to "end IMF conditionality"; paralleled Lula's December 2005 IMF repayment; explicit political break with Washington Consensus. (c) Supreme Court reset — June 2003 pressured Menem-era packed 5-member Court majority to resign; Decreto 222/2003 transparent nomination process; Court reduced back to 7 members; widely credited as institutional improvement. (d) Human-rights reversal — 2003 Congressional repeal of Punto Final and Obediencia Debida laws; Supreme Court Simón decision 14 June 2005 upheld repeal; junta prosecutions reopened. (e) Commodity-boom fiscal expansion — export retenciones reinstated, utility tariffs frozen, energy subsidies expanded; GDP growth 8.8% (2003), 9.0% (2004), 9.2% (2005), 8.4% (2006); primary surplus >3% GDP. Stated school: neo-Peronist heterodox + developmentalist + human-rights-restorationist. Left-right: centre-left; statist economically, progressive on memory politics. Popularity: took office with 22.2% first-round mandate but approval quickly >60%; 2005 midterms FPV 40% (winning Buenos Aires Senate race); 28 October 2007 Cristina Fernández (wife, FPV) won first round 45.3% as Néstor chose not to run. Coherence: trade Menem-era orthodoxy + Corte Suprema packing + de facto amnesty for heterodox-recovery fiscal autonomy, holdout- litigation risk, rule-of-law institutional reset, and junta-accountability restoration.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
increased · moderate
larger transfer footprint
Jefes y Jefas continuation; later evolution into AUH groundwork.