Morales third-term entrenchment and 2019 crisis (Bolivia)

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Narrower slice of the MAS period focused on political entrenchment after the commodity turn: Morales won the October 2014 election with ~61% on the strength of the prior boom, but the economic model — gas-revenue dependent, peg-maintained, deficit-financed after 2014 — began to fray as hydrocarbon prices fell and YPFB reserves depleted. Politically the period is defined by the February 2016 constitutional referendum, in which voters rejected unlimited re-election 51.3%-48.7%; the Plurinational Constitutional Court's Ruling 0084/2017 declaring term limits a violation of human rights and authorising Morales to stand again; and the disputed October 2019 election in which an OAS audit cited irregularities, triggering protests, police mutiny, and military "suggestion" that Morales resign on November 10, 2019. The movement represents democratic-backsliding-via-judicial-capture layered on top of the extractivist-redistributive base, with coherence eroding between stated plurinational-democracy doctrine and observed practice.