IESET.
Movements·canada_mulroney_pc_second_1988_1993

Mulroney PC second term — GST, NAFTA, Meech/Charlottetown failure

CAN·19881993·Progressive Conservative Party of Canada (majority government)
Leaders: Brian Mulroney (Prime Minister 1984-1993) · Michael Wilson (Finance 1984-1991) · Don Mazankowski (Finance 1991-1993) · Joe Clark (Constitutional Affairs)
positionschicago_monetarismclassical_liberalinstitutionalism

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Market-liberal consolidation paired with failed mega-constitutional politics. Four doctrinal pillars: (a) Goods and Services Tax — the 7% GST (enacted 1 January 1991) replaced the distortionary 13.5% Manufacturers' Sales Tax; rammed through the Senate by appointing eight additional senators under Section 26 of the Constitution Act; politically radioactive but economically orthodox broad-base consumption tax. (b) Continental integration extended — NAFTA negotiations 1991-92, signed 17 December 1992 (ratified under Chrétien January 1994); Canada joined the Mexico-US track to avoid a hub-and-spoke disadvantage. (c) Constitutional exhaustion — Meech Lake Accord (1987) died 22 June 1990 when Manitoba (Elijah Harper) and Newfoundland declined to ratify; Charlottetown Accord referendum 26 October 1992 rejected 54.3% No / 45.7% Yes with six provinces against. (d) Bank of Canada inflation-targeting — John Crow governorship; 1991 joint inflation-control targets with Finance (2% band) — first numerical inflation target in G7. Stated school: market-liberal economic conservatism + constitutional accommodation. Left-right: centre-right economic, decentralising federalism, failed social-constitutional compromise. Popularity: November 1988 43.0% vote / 169 seats; by early 1993 PC polling 12-15% under recession + GST + Charlottetown; Mulroney resigned February 1993; Kim Campbell (PC leader from June 1993) presided over October 1993 wipe-out — PC 16.0% vote / 2 seats, largest collapse of a governing party in a democracy. Coherence: trade short-run GST unpopularity and constitutional bandwidth for broad-base consumption tax, continental integration, and credible monetary framework — the economic pillars held while the constitutional pillar shattered the coalition.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

tax progressivity
fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
decreased · weak
less progressive (flatter rates, compression, smaller credits)
GST is a broad-base consumption tax; mildly regressive before credit.
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · strong
more open trade
NAFTA negotiated under Mulroney; CUSFTA phased tariff elimination continued.
central bank independence
monetary.central_bank_independence
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
increased · moderate
greater independence (legal, operational, personnel)
1991 numerical inflation-target framework.
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
unchanged · weak
Deficits persisted; structural consolidation delayed to Martin 1995.

Policies enacted

What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses

The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.

not yet written
consumption_tax_efficiency_gain
not yet written
inflation_targeting_stabilisation_effect

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

partial
institutionalism
Constitutional mega-politics failed.

References

Notes

Distinct from canada_mulroney_pc_first_1984_1988. October 1993 PC collapse is the terminal event.