Movements · china_wto_accession_2001 China WTO accession CHN · 2001 – 2015· CCP under Jiang Zemin + Zhu Rongji premiership
Leaders: Jiang Zemin · Zhu Rongji · Long Yongtu (chief negotiator)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Commit to tariff reductions, market access, IP protection, and trading- rights reforms in exchange for MFN access to WTO member markets. Locked in reform commitments with international credibility. Outcome: unprecedented export-led growth, manufacturing-sector expansion, and structural transformation of global supply chains. Also produced the "China shock" documented by Autor-Dorn-Hanson (2013, 2016) on US manufacturing employment.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
trade openness → regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · strong
more open trade
Average MFN tariff from 15.3% (2001) to 9.4% (2010).
↑
product market competition → regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · moderate
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Service sector partial opening; IP protection formalised.
↑
property rights → institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
increased · moderate
stronger property rights
Policies enacted · china_wto_tariff_reductions_2001 · china_soe_reform_2001_2006 · china_trading_rights_liberalisation What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.
not yet written china_wto_growth_effect
not yet written developmentalist_state_growth_performance
Schools of thought aligned or opposed References China Protocol of Accession to WTO, 10 Nov 2001 Autor-Dorn-Hanson (2013) 'The China Syndrome' AER Brandt-Rawski (2008), China's Great Economic Transformation IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.