Movements · deng_xiaoping_reforms_1978 Deng Xiaoping Reform and Opening CHN · 1978 – 2012· CCP under Deng Xiaoping, then successors Jiang Zemin + Hu Jintao
Leaders: Deng Xiaoping · Zhu Rongji (premier 1998-2003, architect of SOE restructuring + WTO accession) · Jiang Zemin · Hu Jintao
Doctrine — stated goals and content Phased market reforms while retaining CCP political monopoly. Rural household responsibility system 1978-1983; SEZs from 1980 (Shenzhen, Zhuhai); private enterprise legalisation mid-1980s; Zhu Rongji SOE restructuring + tax reform 1990s; WTO accession 2001. Outcome: ~10% annualised GDP growth 1980-2010; lifted ~800M out of poverty. Canonical counter-example to "Washington Consensus reform is only path to growth" — China liberalised idiosyncratically + sequentially, with state ownership retained in strategic sectors.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
product market competition → regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · strong
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Legalised private enterprise; opened sectoral competition.
↑
trade openness → regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · strong
more open trade
WTO accession 2001 locked in tariff reductions.
↑
property rights → institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
increased · moderate
stronger property rights
Constitutional protection 2004; rural land-use rights strengthened.
↑
sectoral subsidy → fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
State-directed credit to strategic industries continued.
Policies enacted · china_household_responsibility_1978 · china_sez_establishment_1980 · china_soe_restructuring_1990s · china_wto_accession_2001 · china_deng_reform_opening_1978 What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.
not yet written developmentalist_state_growth_performance
Schools of thought aligned or opposed References Naughton (2007), The Chinese Economy Brandt-Rawski (2008), China's Great Economic Transformation IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.