IESET.
Movements·japan_obuchi_mori_ldp_1998_2001

Obuchi-Mori LDP — fiscal-stimulus lost-decade response (1998-2001)

JPN·19982001·LDP-Liberal-Komeito 'Jiyu-Ko' coalition, then LDP-Komeito-Conservative under Mori
Leaders: Keizō Obuchi (PM 30 Jul 1998 - 5 Apr 2000, died in office) · Yoshirō Mori (PM 5 Apr 2000 - 26 Apr 2001) · Kiichi Miyazawa (Finance, returning elder) · Masaru Hayami (BoJ Governor)
positionsnew_keynesianpost_keynesianaustrianclassical_liberal

Doctrine — stated goals and content

LDP fiscal-activist Keynesian — Obuchi styled himself the "world's number-one debtor prime minister" and explicitly reversed Hashimoto's fiscal consolidation. Economic school: old-LDP developmental-state Keynesianism with public-works-heavy supplementary budgets — centre-right on social issues but fiscally expansionary. Key policy content: (i) ¥16.7tn Comprehensive Economic Stimulus Package April 1998 (initiated under Hashimoto, deployed under Obuchi); (ii) ¥23.9tn Emergency Economic Package November 1998; (iii) ¥18tn "Year of the Golden Pig" supplementary budget November 1999 (¥6.5tn real-water public works); (iv) Financial Revitalisation Act October 1998 creating the Resolution and Collection Corporation and Financial Reconstruction Commission, Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan nationalised October 1998, Nippon Credit Bank December 1998; (v) Zero-Interest-Rate Policy launched 12 February 1999 under BoJ Governor Hayami (lifted August 2000, reinstated with QE March 2001); (vi) ¥11tn Emergency Economic Package Mori administration November 2000; (vii) e-Japan Strategy January 2001 — national broadband and IT plan; (viii) Ministry reorganisation January 2001 collapsed 22 ministries into 12. Popularity: Obuchi personally popular before stroke; Mori collapsed to ~9% approval after the Ehime Maru incident and gaffes, resigned April 2001. Coherence line: discretionary Keynesian fiscal push plus ZIRP plus bank nationalisation — the high-water mark of Japanese fiscal-monetary expansion before the Koizumi pivot.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · strong
higher spending share
Successive supplementary budgets ¥16.7tn + ¥23.9tn + ¥18tn + ¥11tn pushed public debt past 130% of GDP.
monetary expansion direction
monetary.monetary_expansion_direction
Direction of monetary-base expansion decisions relative to trend. Separate from fiscal.transfer_expansion even when correlated.
increased · strong
expansionary (balance sheet, rates lower than Taylor)
ZIRP from February 1999; QE launched March 2001 under Hayami; world's first modern ZIRP regime.
sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
Long-Term Credit Bank and Nippon Credit Bank nationalised; RCC and FRC created to recapitalise banking system.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · weak
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
e-Japan Strategy 2001 mandated telecoms competition for broadband; Central Government Reform consolidated ministries.
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
unchanged · weak
Bank nationalisations via FRC framework rules-based; no major institutional shift.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
new_keynesian
ZIRP and discretionary stimulus textbook response to liquidity trap.
aligned
post_keynesian
Direct fiscal-expansion Keynesianism.
opposed
austrian
Zombification-by-bailout and ZIRP both flagged as malinvestment-inducing.
opposed
classical_liberal
Debt trajectory and bank nationalisations departed from Big Bang liberal posture.

References

Notes

Combined Obuchi+Mori movement because Mori cabinet continued the same fiscal+ZIRP doctrine with only personnel changes; coherence preserved by bridging Hayami BoJ and LDP-Komeito coalition.