IESET.
Movements·skorea_yoon_ppp_2022_2025

Yoon Suk-yeol conservative deregulation government (South Korea)

KOR·20222025·People Power Party (Gukmin-ui Him) — minority in the 300-seat National Assembly throughout the presidency (115 seats post-April 2024 election, against Democratic Party 175)
Leaders: Yoon Suk-yeol (President 2022-2025, impeached 14 December 2024, removed 4 April 2025) · Choo Kyung-ho (Finance Minister / Deputy PM 2022-2023) · Choi Sang-mok (Finance Minister 2024-2025, Acting President Dec 2024-Apr 2025) · Han Duck-soo (Prime Minister, Acting President briefly Dec 2024) · Han Dong-hoon (Justice Minister then PPP leader)
positionschicago_monetarismdevelopmentalismsocial_democratic

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Conservative People Power Party government organised around deregulation, chaebol-favourable tax policy, nuclear restoration, a sharp tilt toward the US-Japan-Korea trilateral, and a combative posture toward the Democratic Party-controlled National Assembly that ultimately produced the December 2024 martial-law declaration. Core content: (i) statutory corporate-tax cut from 25% to 24% effective January 2023 (top bracket; paired with bracket restructuring and headline-rate reductions across lower tiers); (ii) inheritance-and-gift-tax reform attempt 2024 proposing a cut of the top inheritance rate from 50% to 40% and shift from decedent-based to inheritor-based taxation (blocked by the DP-majority assembly); (iii) nuclear restoration — reversal of Moon phase-out, resumption of Shin Hanul 3/4 construction, extension of existing plant lifespans, target raising nuclear share of generation to ~35% by 2036; (iv) real-estate deregulation including loan-to-value cap easing, reconstruction-permit liberalisation, rollback of multi-home acquisition-tax surcharges, Jongbuse (comprehensive real-estate tax) cuts; (v) Yoon-Biden summit (May 2022, Washington Declaration on extended deterrence April 2023), Camp David trilateral with Japan and US August 2023 — strongest US alignment in a generation; (vi) minimum-wage moderation (2.5% 2023, 2.5% 2024, 1.7% 2025 — the lowest consecutive hikes since the early 2000s); (vii) weekly-working- hour reform attempt 2023 proposing up to 69-hour weeks (withdrawn after youth backlash); (viii) medical school admission quota expansion of 2,000 seats provoking the 2024 resident-doctors strike; (ix) December 3 2024 emergency martial-law declaration citing "anti-state forces" within the DP-controlled assembly, overturned by unanimous National Assembly vote within three hours, followed by impeachment motion 14 December 2024 (204-85) and Constitutional Court unanimous removal 4 April 2025. Early election held 3 June 2025 won by DP's Lee Jae-myung. Proponents framed the agenda as unwinding Moon-era rigidities and restoring chaebol-led growth; critics framed it as regressive tax cuts, confrontation-politics escalation, and the gravest democratic-backsliding episode since 1987.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

tax corporate
fiscal.tax_corporate
Statutory and effective corporate tax rates, treatment of depreciation, and international competitiveness.
decreased · moderate
lower corporate tax burden
Headline corporate rate cut 25% → 24% at top bracket January 2023; bracket restructuring across lower tiers.
tax capital
fiscal.tax_capital
Taxation of capital income (dividends, capital gains, inheritance, wealth). Distinct from corporate rate.
decreased · moderate
lower capital income tax
Multi-home acquisition surcharges rolled back, Jongbuse comprehensive real-estate tax cut 2022-2023, financial-investment income tax repeatedly deferred then repealed.
labour market flexibility
regulatory.labour_market_flexibility
Ease of hiring/firing, collective-bargaining scope, minimum wage rigidity, temporary/permanent contract regulation.
increased · weak
more flexible (easier hiring/firing, less rigid bargaining)
Minimum-wage moderation to sub-3% hikes; 69-hour week proposed but withdrawn; partial easing of union-bargaining support.
energy supply security
regulatory.energy_supply_security
Policy posture toward energy supply security — domestic production capacity, import diversification, strategic reserves, nuclear stance, fossil-fuel mix discipline.
increased · strong
higher supply-security posture (diversified, strategic reserves)
Nuclear restoration — Shin Hanul 3/4 resumed, plant lifespan extensions, ~35% nuclear share target 2036.
environmental stringency
regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
decreased · weak
less stringent environmental rules
ETS allowance looser, renewable targets trimmed relative to Moon 2050 roadmap; carbon-neutrality date preserved.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · weak
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Reconstruction-permit liberalisation; medical-school quota expansion; some sectoral licensing loosened.
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
decreased · strong
weaker rule of law
December 3 2024 martial-law declaration — Constitutional Court ruled 4 April 2025 (unanimous 8-0) that it violated constitutional martial-law conditions.
judicial independence
institutional.judicial_independence
Independence of the judiciary from executive and legislative encroachment. Specifically captures court-packing, selective prosecution, judicial reshuffles.
decreased · moderate
weaker judicial independence
Confrontation with opposition-appointed prosecutors, contested appointments at Constitutional Court and Supreme Prosecutor's Office.

Policies enacted

What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses

The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.

not yet written
skorea_corporate_tax_cut_investment_response
not yet written
martial_law_democratic_backsliding_episode

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

partial
developmentalism
Chaebol-favourable nuclear-industrial reinvestment fits developmental-state framing on the regulatory-energy axis.

References

Notes

Popularity: entered at ~52% approval May 2022, fell below 30% within six months on First Lady controversies and minority-assembly confrontation, oscillated 20-35% through 2023-2024; April 2024 legislative election catastrophic for PPP (108 seats) enabling the DP-led obstruction Yoon cited as rationale for martial law. Approval collapsed to ~11% after Dec 3 2024 declaration. Constitutional Court removal 8-0 on all grounds — the second successful presidential impeachment in Korean history (Park Geun-hye 2017 being the first).