IESET.
Movements·us_obama_second_term_2013_2017

Obama second term — JCPOA, Paris, TPP, Cuba opening

USA·20132017·Democratic (divided government; GOP Senate from 2015)
Leaders: Barack Obama (President 2009-2017) · Joe Biden (VP) · Jack Lew (Treasury 2013-2017) · John Kerry (Secretary of State 2013-2017) · Janet Yellen (Fed Chair from Feb 2014)
positionsempirical_pragmatistordoliberaldevelopmentalism

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Obama II was an executive-action and international-agreement presidency with minimal domestic legislative throughput under divided government. (a) Economic school: rules-based liberal-internationalism abroad (JCPOA, Paris, TPP) + progressive-regulatory stance at home (Clean Power Plan, overtime rule, net-neutrality Title II reclassification Feb 2015). (b) Left-right: centre-left / progressive-liberal, but practically constrained by McConnell Senate. (c) Dated policies: Iran nuclear JCPOA (14 Jul 2015), Cuba diplomatic reopening (17 Dec 2014, embassy reopened 20 Jul 2015), Paris Agreement signed (22 Apr 2016, entered into force Nov 2016), TPP signed (4 Feb 2016, not ratified), Clean Power Plan proposed Jun 2014 / finalised Aug 2015 (stayed by SCOTUS Feb 2016), marriage equality via Obergefell Jun 2015 (judicial), DAPA executive action (blocked by courts 2016), Dodd-Frank implementation continued, oil export ban lifted Dec 2015. (d) Popularity: re-elected 2012 51.1%; approval bottomed 40-42% 2014 midterms ("historic losses" in Senate); rose to mid-50s by 2016 exit. (e) Coherence: moderate — international agreements formed a coherent post-unipolar liberal-order pivot; domestic executive-action strategy vulnerable to successor reversal (Trump I withdrew TPP, JCPOA, Paris; Clean Power Plan replaced).

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

environmental stringency
regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
increased · moderate
more stringent environmental rules
Clean Power Plan, Paris Agreement, methane rules, CAFE tightening.
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · moderate
more open trade
TPP signed; KORUS deepening; Cuba trade limited thaw; oil export ban lifted.
property rights
institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
unchanged · weak
No major domestic ownership shifts; executive actions contested.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · weak
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Net-neutrality Title II; overtime rule (enjoined); FCC spectrum actions.

Policies enacted

What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses

The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.

not yet written
trade_liberalisation_manufacturing_effect
not yet written
nuclear_deal_sanctions_reversal

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

partial
ordoliberal
Rules-based trade + multilateralism partial alignment.

References

Notes

Executive-action presidency; many second-term signatures reversed by Trump I.