Movements · finland_kiviniemi_centre_2010_2011 Kiviniemi Centre-led caretaker 2010-2011 FIN · 2010 – 2011· Keskusta-Kokoomus-RKP-Vihreät (same as Vanhanen II)
Leaders: Mari Kiviniemi (Prime Minister, Keskusta, 2010-2011) · Jyrki Katainen (Finance Minister, Kokoomus)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Brief transitional premiership after Vanhanen resigned over Centre election-funding scandal. Economic school: inherited Vanhanen II programme; no distinctive doctrinal shift. Managed implementation of already-legislated 2010 VAT rise and tabled first Greek EFSF contribution debates. Left-right: centre-right. Dated policies: EFSF first-programme Finnish guarantees (ratified June 2010 and subsequently), VAT rate increase implementation (1 July 2010), preparation of spring 2011 election. Popularity: low from inception; Centre finished fourth in Apr 2011 election (vote share 15.8%, down 7.3pp — the Centre's worst result since universal suffrage). Coherence: low — caretaker mode into a losing campaign amid Perussuomalaiset "Finns Party" populist surge.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
spending level → fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · weak
higher spending share
EFSF/bailout contingent liabilities raised committed fiscal footprint.
↑
financial deregulation → regulatory.financial_deregulation
Financial-sector regulation — banking separation, capital requirements, cross-border activity rules, derivatives oversight.
increased · weak
tighter financial regulation
EFSF guarantees part of eurozone crisis-management architecture.
—
rule of law → institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
unchanged · weak
Caretaker transition orderly; institutional continuity preserved.
Policies enacted · fi_efsf_finnish_guarantees_2010 · fi_vat_rise_2010 Schools of thought aligned or opposed partial institutionalism derived: score=+0.18, overlap=3 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned developmentalism derived: score=+0.79, overlap=3 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned eco_socialist derived: score=+0.92, overlap=2 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned market_socialist derived: score=+1.00, overlap=2 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned marxist_leninist derived: score=+0.64, overlap=2 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned new_keynesian derived: score=+0.90, overlap=3 axes vs new_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned post_keynesian derived: score=+0.55, overlap=3 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial chicago_monetarism derived: score=-0.28, overlap=3 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial classical_liberal derived: score=-0.39, overlap=3 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial democratic_socialist derived: score=-0.21, overlap=3 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial empirical_pragmatist derived: score=-0.28, overlap=3 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed austrian derived: score=-0.94, overlap=3 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed social_democratic derived: score=-0.61, overlap=2 axes vs third_way profile (mechanical backfill v1)
References Perustuslakivaliokunnan lausunto EFSF 2010 IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.