Movements · finland_stubb_kok_2014_2015 Stubb Kokoomus-led continuation 2014-2015 FIN · 2014 – 2015· Kokoomus-SDP-RKP-Kristillisdemokraatit (after Greens exit Sep 2014)
Leaders: Alexander Stubb (Prime Minister, Kokoomus, 2014-2015) · Antti Rinne (Finance Minister, SDP, 2014-2015)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Brief Stubb premiership completing the Katainen programme after Katainen moved to the European Commission. Economic school: continuation of NCP-led consolidation and structural-reform agenda under continued euro-crisis fiscal pressure and emerging Ukraine-war sanctions impact on Finnish trade. Left-right: centre-right. Dated policies: Fennovoima nuclear reactor Rosatom-vendor vote Sep 2014 (Greens quit coalition), Russia-sanction contingencies, defence-cooperation deepening with Sweden. Popularity: Kokoomus slid in polls; Stubb lost to Sipila Centre in April 2015 election. Coherence: low — short-lived, dominated by post-Katainen drift and coalition unravelling.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↓
energy supply security → regulatory.energy_supply_security
Policy posture toward energy supply security — domestic production capacity, import diversification, strategic reserves, nuclear stance, fossil-fuel mix discipline.
decreased · moderate
lower supply-security posture (single-supplier dependence, early phase-outs)
Fennovoima-Rosatom reactor procurement increased Russian supply dependence; later cancelled 2022.
↓
spending level → fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
decreased · weak
lower spending share
Continuing consolidation under eurozone SGP.
—
environmental stringency → regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
unchanged · weak
Climate commitments preserved; Greens exited over nuclear procurement.
Policies enacted · fi_fennovoima_nuclear_vote_2014 · fi_cit_20_percent_2014 Schools of thought aligned or opposed aligned austrian derived: score=+0.49, overlap=3 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial chicago_monetarism derived: score=-0.36, overlap=3 axes vs chicago_monetarist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial classical_liberal derived: score=-0.24, overlap=3 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial eco_socialist derived: score=-0.25, overlap=3 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial empirical_pragmatist derived: score=-0.36, overlap=3 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed developmentalism derived: score=-0.83, overlap=2 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed institutionalism derived: score=-0.52, overlap=3 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed social_democratic derived: score=-0.55, overlap=3 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
References Eduskunta periaatepaatos Fennovoima 2014 IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.