IESET.
Movements·germany_merkel_ii_cdu_fdp_2009_2013

Merkel II CDU/CSU-FDP centre-right coalition 2009-2013

DEU·2009 – 2013·CDU/CSU (239) + FDP (93) Black-Yellow
Leaders: Angela Merkel (Chancellor) · Wolfgang Schäuble (Finance Minister) · Guido Westerwelle (FDP, Foreign/Vice-Chancellor)
positionsclassical_liberalsocial_democraticchicago_monetarismdevelopmentalismeco_socialistempirical_pragmatistnew_keynesianpost_keynesianinstitutionalismdemocratic_socialistmarxianmarxist_leninist

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Only Merkel term with a clean centre-right majority, dominated by the Eurozone sovereign-debt crisis. Doctrine: ordoliberal conditionality — bilateral and ESFS/EFSF/ESM support for Greece-Ireland-Portugal-Spain-Cyprus contingent on austerity and structural reform, rules-based euro-area governance (Fiscal Compact 2012, Six-Pack, ESM Treaty Sep 2012). Defining domestic pivot was the Atomausstieg decision (Jun 2011 post-Fukushima) reversing an earlier 2010 lifetime-extension — the Energiewende acceleration anchoring coalition greenflation. Also: Sparpaket austerity package (Jun 2010 €80bn over 4 years), FDP-pushed tax simplification (Wachstumsbeschleunigungsgesetz 2009), and explicit rejection of federal minimum wage (deferred to Merkel III). Left-right: centre-right, fiscally orthodox. Popularity: CDU/CSU 33.8% vote 2009, rising to 41.5% in 2013 on Merkel personal brand; FDP collapsed from 14.6% to 4.8% (below 5% threshold, expelled from Bundestag). Coherence: high on rules-based euro-area management; incoherent on energy policy (simultaneous nuclear exit and coal-dependency prolongation).

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↓
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
decreased · moderate
lower spending share
Sparpaket €80bn/4y targeting public-sector transfer payments and defence.
↓
energy supply security
regulatory.energy_supply_security
Policy posture toward energy supply security — domestic production capacity, import diversification, strategic reserves, nuclear stance, fossil-fuel mix discipline.
decreased · strong
lower supply-security posture (single-supplier dependence, early phase-outs)
Atomausstieg accelerated to 2022; 8 reactors shuttered immediately Jun 2011.
↑
environmental stringency
regulatory.environmental_stringency
Environmental regulation stringency — emissions caps, standards, phase-out mandates, carbon pricing, renewable portfolio standards.
increased · strong
more stringent environmental rules
Energiewende acceleration, EEG expansion.
—
central bank independence
monetary.central_bank_independence
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
unchanged · weak
Bundesbank preserved; ECB OMT (Jul 2012) tolerated after conditionality debates.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

partial
classical_liberal
derived: score=-0.25, overlap=4 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
social_democratic
derived: score=+0.71, overlap=2 axes vs third_way profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=-0.41, overlap=4 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
developmentalism
derived: score=-0.74, overlap=3 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
eco_socialist
derived: score=+0.31, overlap=3 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
empirical_pragmatist
derived: score=+0.19, overlap=4 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
new_keynesian
derived: score=+0.28, overlap=4 axes vs new_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
post_keynesian
derived: score=+0.28, overlap=4 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.58, overlap=3 axes vs christian_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
democratic_socialist
derived: score=-0.88, overlap=2 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
marxian
derived: score=-0.78, overlap=2 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
marxist_leninist
derived: score=-0.64, overlap=2 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References