Economic school: reformist liberalisation under conservative institutional resistance — attempted re-opening to FDI, privatisation under Article 44 principles, gradual exchange-rate unification. Left- right axis: centre-left in Islamic-Republic frame — civil-society liberalism, dialogue-of-civilisations foreign policy, moderate on economy. Dated policies: exchange-rate unification achieved 21 March 2002 (TSE single rate replacing multiple-rate system); Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Act (FIPPA) passed 4 May 2002; buy-back oil contracts expansion (Total/Elf, Eni, Statoil 1995-2004); 18 Tir student protests 8 July 1999 (Tehran university raid); G.W. Bush "Axis of Evil" State of the Union 29 January 2002; NCRI disclosure of Natanz enrichment and Arak heavy-water plants August 2002 (nuclear programme exposed); Tehran Declaration with UK/France/Germany 21 October 2003 (voluntary IAEA Additional Protocol, enrichment suspension); Third Five-Year Development Plan 2000-2004 (privatisation targets, tax reform). Popularity: 69.6% May 1997 landslide election; 77.1% re-election June 2001 on 67% turnout; 2004 Majlis disqualifications by Guardian Council and 2005 Ahmadinejad victory ended reform cycle. Coherence: moderate — presidential agenda blocked on multiple fronts by Guardian Council and Supreme Leader institutional power.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
Independence of the judiciary from executive and legislative encroachment. Specifically captures court-packing, selective prosecution, judicial reshuffles.
unchanged · weak
Judiciary remained under Supreme Leader appointee — reformist press closures 2000.