IESET.
Movements·israel_netanyahu_likud_first_term_1996_1999

Netanyahu Likud I — supply-side pivot, Wye River stall, Oslo slowdown

ISR·19961999·Likud-led coalition with Shas, NRP, Yisrael BaAliyah
Leaders: Benjamin Netanyahu (Prime Minister 18 June 1996 - 6 July 1999) · Dan Meridor (Finance Minister 1996-1997) · Yaakov Neeman (Finance Minister 1997-1998) · Jacob Frenkel (Bank of Israel Governor 1991-2000)
positionsaustrianchicago_monetarisminstitutionalismclassical_liberalempirical_pragmatistmarket_socialistordoliberalsocial_democraticdevelopmentalismeco_socialistdemocratic_socialistmarxianmarxist_leninistpost_keynesian

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Economic school: supply-side Likud — shift from Rabin-Peres Oslo-era state+peace-dividend assumption toward Anglo-American liberal-market framing (tax cuts, privatisation, deregulation). Left-right axis: centre-right — pro-market on domestic reform, hawkish on Oslo implementation (slowdown on withdrawals but signed Hebron Protocol January 1997 and Wye River Memorandum 23 October 1998). Dated policies: privatisation acceleration of Bezeq, Bank Leumi tranches, and El Al preparation; Hebron Protocol 17 January 1997 (80% of Hebron to PA); Wye River Memorandum 23 October 1998 (further West Bank withdrawals, largely unimplemented); Bank of Israel maintained tight monetary stance under Frenkel (base rate 13-14% early 1996, moderated to 11% by 1999). Popularity: narrow May 1996 direct-PM victory over Peres (50.5% to 49.5%); coalition fractured mid-1999 over Wye implementation; lost May 1999 election to Barak (56%-44%). Coherence: moderate — supply-side economic frame coexisted with security hawkishness but coalition politics blocked full agenda.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

tax progressivity
fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
decreased · moderate
less progressive (flatter rates, compression, smaller credits)
Personal and corporate tax reductions begun under Netanyahu I.
sectoral licensing
regulatory.sectoral_licensing
Sector-specific licensing regimes, concentration / quota allocation, state-controlled entry (energy, telecoms, healthcare, banking).
decreased · moderate
looser licensing, more open entry
Telecoms and banking privatisation tranches.
central bank independence
monetary.central_bank_independence
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
increased · weak
greater independence (legal, operational, personnel)
Frenkel-led BoI maintained disinflation credibility.
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
unchanged · weak
No major institutional shift — Oslo framework legally preserved.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
austrian
derived: score=+0.95, overlap=4 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=+0.71, overlap=4 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.37, overlap=4 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
classical_liberal
derived: score=+0.85, overlap=4 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
empirical_pragmatist
derived: score=+0.52, overlap=4 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
market_socialist
derived: score=+1.00, overlap=2 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
ordoliberal
derived: score=+0.49, overlap=4 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
social_democratic
derived: score=+0.61, overlap=2 axes vs third_way profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
developmentalism
derived: score=-0.22, overlap=4 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
eco_socialist
derived: score=-0.44, overlap=3 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
democratic_socialist
derived: score=-0.62, overlap=4 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
marxian
derived: score=-0.51, overlap=3 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
marxist_leninist
derived: score=-0.71, overlap=2 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
post_keynesian
derived: score=-0.98, overlap=4 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References

Notes

First Netanyahu premiership — supply-side economic frame, security-hawkish Oslo-slowdown.