IESET.
Movements·israel_netanyahu_likud_third_fourth_term_2013_2019

Netanyahu III-IV Likud governments (Israel)

ISR·2013 – 2019·Likud-led successive coalitions: III (2013-2015) with Yesh Atid, Habayit Hayehudi, Hatnuah; IV (2015-2020) with Kulanu, Habayit Hayehudi, Shas, UTJ, Yisrael Beiteinu
Leaders: Benjamin Netanyahu (Prime Minister 18 Mar 2013 - 17 May 2020, continuous) · Yair Lapid (Finance Minister 2013-2014) · Moshe Kahlon (Finance Minister 2015-2020) · Karnit Flug (Bank of Israel Governor 2013-2018) · Amir Yaron (Bank of Israel Governor from Dec 2018)
positionsclassical_liberaldevelopmentalism

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Likud market-liberal coalition with incremental social-housing and competition reforms alongside sustained Iran-deal opposition and Trump-era alliance deepening. Economic school: market-liberal with household-cost targeted interventions — Kahlon (Kulanu) housing-supply and buyer-zero-VAT campaigns, 2015 Gas Framework judicial battle culminating HCJ approval Mar 2016, 2016 Cellular Reform, 2018 Bank Separation (Strum) Law; NIS-USD rate strength drove CBI FX interventions. Dated policies: Gas Framework signed 17 Dec 2015 and HCJ approval Mar 2016; 2016 Cellular Reform; 2018 Strum Law separating credit-card companies from banks; Nation-State Basic Law 19 Jul 2018; Trump embassy move 14 May 2018; Trump JCPOA withdrawal 8 May 2018 (Netanyahu-led lobbying). Left-right: centre-right economically liberal with consumer-price activism; nationally conservative, Abraham-Accords preparatory diplomacy. Popularity: 2013 Likud-Beiteinu 31 seats; 2015 Likud 30 seats (alone); 2019a Apr Likud 35; 2019b Sep Likud 32; neither 2019 election produced a government. Coherence: economic programme tight — housing, competition, banking structural — but political coherence fractured over 2017-2020 indictments (Cases 1000/2000/4000) and Gantz/Lapid Blue-White challenge.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↑
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · moderate
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Cellular Reform and Strum Law opened telecom and credit-card markets to entrants.
↓
sectoral licensing
regulatory.sectoral_licensing
Sector-specific licensing regimes, concentration / quota allocation, state-controlled entry (energy, telecoms, healthcare, banking).
decreased · weak
looser licensing, more open entry
Gas Framework locked in concession stability against retroactive regulation.
—
tax progressivity
fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
unchanged · weak
Mixed — zero-VAT first-buyer scheme shelved; marginal-rate stability.
—
judicial independence
institutional.judicial_independence
Independence of the judiciary from executive and legislative encroachment. Specifically captures court-packing, selective prosecution, judicial reshuffles.
unchanged · weak
HCJ rulings respected; judicial-reform push not yet enacted in this period.

Policies enacted

What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses

The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.

not yet written
resource_taxation_and_growth
not yet written
product_market_deregulation_effect

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
classical_liberal
Telecom, banking, and housing-supply deregulation push.
partial
developmentalism
Gas Framework locked long-horizon private-consortium development.

References

Notes

Third and fourth terms merged for doctrinal continuity; coalition composition shift 2015 detailed in coalition field.