IESET.
Movements·kenya_moi_kanu_1978_2002

Moi KANU era — Nyayoism, one-party state, IMF-SAP, belated liberalisation

KEN·19782002·KANU (Kenya African National Union) — de jure one-party from 1982, multiparty from 1992
Leaders: Daniel arap Moi (President 1978-2002) · Mwai Kibaki (Vice President 1978-1988, later 2002 successor) · Professor George Saitoti (Vice President / Finance Minister, multiple terms)
positionsaustrianchicago_monetarisminstitutionalismclassical_liberalmarxianmarxist_leninistdevelopmentalismsocial_democraticeco_socialistpost_keynesian

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Moi's KANU era (August 1978 - December 2002) dominated Kenya for 24 years, evolving through four phases: (i) 1978-82 'fuata nyayo' (follow in the footsteps) continuation of Kenyatta developmentalist mixed economy; (ii) 1982 constitutional amendment making KANU the sole legal party (de jure one-party state) following August 1982 attempted air-force coup; (iii) 1980s IMF Structural Adjustment (three SAL tranches 1980, 1982, 1986) — maize-marketing deregulation, import-licensing cuts, fiscal consolidation; (iv) 1990s belated political liberalisation forced by donor pressure (Section 2A repealed December 1991, multiparty elections 1992, 1997, both won by Moi on split opposition). Economic school: patronage-authoritarian statism with intermittent IMF-imposed liberalisation. Left-right axis: authoritarian-centrist economically; politically right-authoritarian. Popularity / legitimacy: 1979 single-party election (KANU 88% turnout), 1983 snap election post-coup cemented control; 1992 multiparty election KANU 36.4% presidential (split opposition); 1997 36.1%; 2002 succession election KANU lost to NARC with Kibaki (62%). Coherence: politically coherent (power-retention logic) but economically incoherent — SAP partial compliance, Goldenberg scandal (~$600m-$1bn) and chronic governance failure produced stagnation.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · moderate
more open trade
SAP era import-licensing cut; coffee/tea marketing reforms.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
increased · weak
more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers)
Partial maize marketing liberalisation 1980s; state procurement retained.
sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
decreased · weak
reduced sectoral subsidies
SAP-era cuts to parastatal subsidies; offset by politically-driven rent-allocation.
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
decreased · strong
weaker rule of law
1982 one-party amendment, detention without trial, Goldenberg-level corruption.
property rights
institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
decreased · moderate
weaker property rights
Land allocation politicised; ethnic clashes 1991-92 / 1997 displaced thousands.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
austrian
derived: score=+0.66, overlap=5 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=+0.41, overlap=5 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.51, overlap=5 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
classical_liberal
derived: score=+0.26, overlap=5 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
marxian
derived: score=-0.31, overlap=5 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
marxist_leninist
derived: score=-0.18, overlap=5 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
developmentalism
derived: score=-0.37, overlap=3 axes vs national_conservative profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
social_democratic
derived: score=+0.21, overlap=2 axes vs third_way profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
eco_socialist
derived: score=-0.94, overlap=4 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
post_keynesian
derived: score=-0.68, overlap=5 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References

Notes

Long-span movement (24 years) kept intact because KANU rule structure persisted; Goldenberg scandal is the economic-governance apex.