IESET.
Movements·newzealand_muldoon_national_1975_1984

Muldoon National — Think Big, wage-price freeze, exchange crisis, snap-election collapse

NZL·19751984·National Party
Leaders: Robert Muldoon (Prime Minister and Minister of Finance 1975-1984) · Hugh Templeton (Trade Minister) · Lance Adams-Schneider (Industry and Commerce)
positionsdemocratic_socialistdevelopmentalismeco_socialistmarxianmarxist_leninistpost_keynesianempirical_pragmatistsocial_democraticaustrianchicago_monetarisminstitutionalismclassical_liberalordoliberal

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Muldoon's National government applied unusually interventionist, state-led economic policy during the OECD's transition toward liberalisation. Economic school: dirigiste Keynesian-plus — 'Think Big' state-led energy/industrial projects (Motunui synthetic fuel, Marsden Point expansion, Clyde Dam, NZ Steel Glenbrook) financed by overseas borrowing to target energy self-sufficiency post-oil-shocks; June 1982 wage-price freeze extended multiple times through 1984; 'carless days' (1979-80); extensive import licensing and multi-tier agricultural subsidies ('SMPs'). Left-right axis: nominally right (National Party) but economically centre-statist — in policy content closer to British Labour's Wilson-Callaghan era than to Thatcher. Popularity: 1975 election 47.6% (landslide over Labour), 1978 39.8% (won on seat-count despite losing popular vote), 1981 38.8% (again won on seats), 14 July 1984 snap election 35.9% losing sharply to Lange Labour (43%). Coherence: ideologically distinctive but financially unsustainable — current-account deficits, accelerating external debt, pre-election FX crisis (July 1984 constitutional crisis over devaluation) triggered Rogernomics liberalisation under successor government (already covered under nz_rogernomics_1984_1993).

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
Think Big borrow-and-build energy projects; agricultural SMP subsidies peaked ~40% of farm income.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
decreased · strong
more restrictive regulation, higher entry barriers
Wage-price freeze 1982-84; comprehensive import licensing; state marketing boards.
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
decreased · moderate
more protectionist
Import licensing tightened; CER with Australia signed 1983 is a partial offset.
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · strong
higher spending share
External borrowing financed state projects; public debt rose to ~65% of GDP.
labour market flexibility
regulatory.labour_market_flexibility
Ease of hiring/firing, collective-bargaining scope, minimum wage rigidity, temporary/permanent contract regulation.
decreased · moderate
less flexible (stronger employment protection)
Wage-price freeze rigidified nominal wage structure; compulsory unionism retained.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
democratic_socialist
derived: score=+0.47, overlap=5 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
developmentalism
derived: score=+0.33, overlap=5 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
eco_socialist
derived: score=+0.99, overlap=5 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxian
derived: score=+0.99, overlap=4 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxist_leninist
derived: score=+1.00, overlap=4 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
post_keynesian
derived: score=+0.94, overlap=5 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
empirical_pragmatist
derived: score=-0.37, overlap=5 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
social_democratic
derived: score=+0.31, overlap=5 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
austrian
derived: score=-0.98, overlap=5 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=-0.98, overlap=5 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.46, overlap=5 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
classical_liberal
derived: score=-0.90, overlap=5 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
ordoliberal
derived: score=-0.69, overlap=5 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References

Notes

Policy package is the canonical 'wrong-direction' movement against which Rogernomics is measured — useful for cross-country contrast in framework.