Movements · poland_sld_government_2001_2005 Miller/Belka SLD-UP-PSL EU-accession government 2001-2005 POL · 2001 – 2005· SLD-UP-PSL (Miller 2001-2003); SLD-UP minority (Miller to May 2004); SLD-UP minority (Belka May 2004-Oct 2005)
Leaders: Leszek Miller (Prime Minister, SLD, 2001-2004) · Marek Belka (Prime Minister, SLD-technocratic, 2004-2005) · Grzegorz Kolodko (Finance Minister, 2002-2003) · Andrzej Raczko (Finance Minister, 2003-2004)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Post-communist SLD return — governed by crisis management and EU accession diplomacy. Economic school: Polish third-way social democratic with EU-conditional reformism; Hausner plan (2003) attempted fiscal consolidation against SLD backbench resistance (Hausner rebellion). Left-right axis: centre-left. Dated policies: EU Accession Treaty signing (Athens 16 April 2003), EU membership referendum 7-8 June 2003 (77.45% YES, 58.85% turnout), EU accession 1 May 2004, Hausner plan consolidation (2003-2004, partially enacted), Rywin affair (Dec 2002 -Jan 2003, triggered SLD collapse). Popularity: SLD won 2001 election with 41.0%, collapsed to 11.3% in 2005. Coherence: low — Rywin affair, SLD splits (SdPl Borowski 2004), Miller resignation day after EU accession (2 May 2004). Belka technocratic caretaker for final 18 months.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
trade openness → regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · strong
more open trade
EU accession 1 May 2004 — single-market entry, tariff removal, free movement of labour (initially transitional).
↑
rule of law → institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
increased · moderate
stronger rule of law
Acquis communautaire adoption; however Rywin affair revealed governance weaknesses.
↓
spending level → fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
decreased · weak
lower spending share
Hausner plan partially consolidated transfer spending.
Policies enacted · pl_eu_accession_2004 · pl_hausner_plan_2003 · pl_rywin_affair_2003 Schools of thought aligned or opposed aligned austrian derived: score=+0.72, overlap=3 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned chicago_monetarism derived: score=+0.82, overlap=3 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned institutionalism derived: score=+0.72, overlap=3 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned classical_liberal derived: score=+0.91, overlap=3 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned empirical_pragmatist derived: score=+0.72, overlap=3 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned ordoliberal derived: score=+0.95, overlap=3 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial social_democratic derived: score=+0.32, overlap=3 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial democratic_socialist derived: score=-0.42, overlap=3 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial developmentalism derived: score=-0.29, overlap=3 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed eco_socialist derived: score=-0.64, overlap=3 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed marxian derived: score=-0.92, overlap=3 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed marxist_leninist derived: score=-1.00, overlap=3 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed post_keynesian derived: score=-0.67, overlap=3 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
References EU Accession Treaty Athens 16 April 2003 Referendum akcesyjne 7-8 czerwca 2003 Program Hausnera 2003 IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.