Movements · russia_medvedev_presidency_2008_2012 Medvedev presidency tandem with Putin-PM 2008-2012 RUS · 2008 – 2012· United Russia; Medvedev presidency with Putin as Prime Minister
Leaders: Dmitry Medvedev (President, 2008-2012) · Vladimir Putin (Prime Minister, 2008-2012) · Alexei Kudrin (Finance Minister, until Sep 2011) · Arkady Dvorkovich (Presidential economic aide)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Medvedev presidency under Putin's prime-ministerial tandem ("castling"). Economic school: Russian 'modernisation-theatre' rhetoric (innovation, Skolkovo technology park 2010, four i's — institutions-infrastructure- innovation-investment) under sustained state-capitalist continuity. Georgian Five-Day War Aug 2008 (recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia), GFC response including Reserve-Fund drawdown (fell from USD 142bn Feb 2009 to USD 25bn Jan 2011), rouble devaluation managed via gradual band widening, VEB bank-support packages, presidential-term extension from 4 to 6 years (Nov 2008 constitutional amendment, effect from 2012). Libya UNSC abstention Mar 2011 (later criticised by Putin as 'crusade'), WTO accession signed Dec 2011. Kudrin resignation Sep 2011 over defence-spending dispute with Medvedev. Dec 2011 Bolotnaya protests after Duma elections fraud. Left-right axis: state-capitalist institutional centrism with modernisation liberal overlay. Popularity: moderate; real power remained with Putin. Coherence: high within tandem discipline; modernisation agenda largely symbolic.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↓
rule of law → institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
decreased · moderate
weaker rule of law
Presidential-term extension 4->6 years; 2011 Duma election fraud; Khodorkovsky second trial.
↑
spending level → fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · strong
higher spending share
GFC stimulus and Reserve-Fund drawdown; 2009 GDP -7.8% triggered large counter-cyclical package.
↑
sectoral subsidy → fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · moderate
expanded sectoral subsidies
VEB bailouts, AvtoVAZ support, Skolkovo innovation subsidies.
↑
trade openness → regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · weak
more open trade
WTO accession negotiated to completion (Dec 2011 signed, Aug 2012 effective).
↓
property rights → institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
decreased · weak
weaker property rights
Khodorkovsky second trial (Dec 2010) and continued property-rights uncertainty in 'strategic' sectors.
Policies enacted · ru_presidential_term_extension_2008 · ru_georgia_war_2008 · ru_skolkovo_innovation_2010 · ru_gfc_reserve_fund_drawdown_2008_2009 · ru_wto_accession_2011_2012 Schools of thought aligned or opposed partial institutionalism derived: score=-0.40, overlap=5 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned developmentalism derived: score=+0.77, overlap=5 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned market_socialist derived: score=+0.61, overlap=5 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned marxian derived: score=+0.60, overlap=5 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned marxist_leninist derived: score=+0.58, overlap=5 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned post_keynesian derived: score=+0.46, overlap=5 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned social_democratic derived: score=+0.62, overlap=5 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial empirical_pragmatist derived: score=+0.21, overlap=5 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial austrian derived: score=-0.23, overlap=5 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial chicago_monetarism derived: score=-0.37, overlap=5 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial classical_liberal derived: score=-0.33, overlap=5 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial democratic_socialist derived: score=-0.23, overlap=5 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial new_keynesian derived: score=+0.38, overlap=5 axes vs new_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial ordoliberal derived: score=-0.37, overlap=5 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
References Zakon o popravke k Konstitutsii RF (term extension) Dec 2008 IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.