Movements · slovakia_pellegrini_smer_2018_2020 Pellegrini Smer-SNS-Most-Hid 2018-2020 SVK · 2018 – 2020· Smer-SD, SNS, Most-Hid (continued from Fico III)
Leaders: Peter Pellegrini (Prime Minister, Smer-SD, 2018-2020) · Peter Kazimir (Finance Minister 2018; then Ladislav Kamenicky from 2019)
Doctrine — stated goals and content Post-Kuciak continuation government after Fico's forced resignation. Economic school: Smer-SD social-democratic transfer-expansion with damage-control institutional cleanup — 13th pension introduced Dec 2019, minimum-wage continuing ramp, health-insurance unitary-system repackaged, reductions in VAT on foodstuffs, free rail travel for students/pensioners. Kuciak investigation progressed (Kocner indictments); justice-ministry reshuffle. Left-right axis: centre-left. Dated policies: 13th pension law 2019, foodstuff VAT cut to 10% Jan 2020. Popularity: Pellegrini personally popular but Smer lost Feb 2020 election to OLaNO-led anti-corruption coalition (Smer 18.3%, OLaNO 25.0%). Coherence: moderate — coalition held but lost public trust post-Kuciak.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
transfer expansion → fiscal.transfer_expansion
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
increased · moderate
larger transfer footprint
13th pension, child benefits, free-rail expansion.
↑
tax progressivity → fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
increased · weak
more progressive (higher top rates, wider spread, larger targeted credits)
Foodstuff reduced-VAT tilt is modestly progressive on consumption.
↑
spending level → fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · weak
higher spending share
Pre-Covid transfer additions raised expenditure share.
↑
rule of law → institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
increased · weak
stronger rule of law
Kuciak investigation proceeded; some institutional recovery from 2018 shock.
Policies enacted · sk_thirteenth_pension_2019 · sk_foodstuff_vat_reduction_2020 · sk_minimum_wage_ramp_2012_2018 Schools of thought aligned or opposed aligned democratic_socialist derived: score=+0.96, overlap=4 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned developmentalism derived: score=+0.53, overlap=4 axes vs developmentalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned eco_socialist derived: score=+0.57, overlap=4 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned empirical_pragmatist derived: score=+0.70, overlap=4 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned institutionalism derived: score=+0.76, overlap=4 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned market_socialist derived: score=+0.82, overlap=3 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned marxian derived: score=+0.69, overlap=3 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned new_keynesian derived: score=+0.88, overlap=4 axes vs new_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned post_keynesian derived: score=+0.88, overlap=4 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned social_democratic derived: score=+0.95, overlap=4 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial marxist_leninist derived: score=+0.29, overlap=3 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed austrian derived: score=-0.91, overlap=4 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed chicago_monetarism derived: score=-0.76, overlap=4 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed classical_liberal derived: score=-0.59, overlap=4 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed ordoliberal derived: score=-0.55, overlap=4 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
References Zakon c. 467/2019 Z. z. (13. dochodok) IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.