IESET.
Movements·sweden_falldin_centre_coalition_1976_1982

Fälldin non-socialist coalitions — end of SAP 44-year hegemony

SWE·19761982·Centre Party + Moderates + Liberals (three-party non-socialist / borgerlig bloc)
Leaders: Thorbjörn Fälldin (Prime Minister 1976-1978, 1979-1982; Centre Party leader) · Ola Ullsten (Liberal PM interregnum 1978-1979) · Gösta Bohman (Moderate Party leader, Finance/Economy minister)
positionsdevelopmentalismeco_socialistmarket_socialistmarxianmarxist_leninistpost_keynesianaustrianchicago_monetarisminstitutionalismempirical_pragmatistsocial_democraticclassical_liberaldemocratic_socialistordoliberal

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Swedish centre-right "borgerlig" coalition government that ended the Social Democrats' (SAP) unbroken 1932-1976 run. School: pragmatic Nordic-model conservatism / Centre-Liberal mixed economy — nominally market-liberal on small-business and regulation, but in practice heavily interventionist on shipbuilding, steel, and mining to avoid job losses during the 1970s crisis; also strongly anti-nuclear under Fälldin's Centre Party leadership. Left-right axis: centre-right within Swedish spectrum, but far to the left of Anglo-Saxon conservatism of the period; maintained Rehn-Meidner wage-solidarity bargaining and expanded public sector employment during the crisis. Key policy content: nationalisation/rescue of the shipbuilding sector into Svenska Varv (1977), the Luleå/SSAB steel merger (1978) and mining rescues; 1977 krona devaluations (8% in April 1977, then effective 10% via band shift in August 1977, further devaluation 1981) to restore cost competitiveness; 1980 advisory referendum on nuclear power (line 2 won, 12-reactor programme with phaseout intent); 1981 tax reform ("wonderful night" agreement with SAP) lowering top marginal rates toward 50%. Popularity signals: 1976 election 50.8% non-socialist bloc ending SAP 42.7%; 1979 re-elected with bare 171-seat majority (50.5%); 1982 defeat restored SAP at 45.6%. The coalition famously fractured over nuclear (Centre vs Moderate positions) — Fälldin resigned October 1978 on the issue. Coherence: moderate coherence — managed a crisis-era consolidation but the three-party nuclear split and recurring devaluations signal the regime was reactive rather than programmatic.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
Major shipbuilding, steel, mining bailouts and nationalisations 1977-1979.
product market competition
regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
decreased · moderate
more restrictive regulation, higher entry barriers
State absorbed failing industries into Svenska Varv and SSAB; not competitive-market exit.
tax progressivity
fiscal.tax_progressivity
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
decreased · weak
less progressive (flatter rates, compression, smaller credits)
1981 'wonderful night' cut top marginal rates from ~85% toward 50%.
energy supply security
regulatory.energy_supply_security
Policy posture toward energy supply security — domestic production capacity, import diversification, strategic reserves, nuclear stance, fossil-fuel mix discipline.
decreased · moderate
lower supply-security posture (single-supplier dependence, early phase-outs)
1980 referendum Line 2 mandated nuclear phaseout after existing reactors complete — later reversed.
monetary expansion direction
monetary.monetary_expansion_direction
Direction of monetary-base expansion decisions relative to trend. Separate from fiscal.transfer_expansion even when correlated.
increased · moderate
expansionary (balance sheet, rates lower than Taylor)
Repeated devaluations 1977 and 1981 restored cost competitiveness via external channel.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
developmentalism
derived: score=+0.67, overlap=4 axes vs national_conservative profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
eco_socialist
derived: score=+0.87, overlap=4 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
market_socialist
derived: score=+0.52, overlap=3 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxian
derived: score=+0.99, overlap=2 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxist_leninist
derived: score=+1.00, overlap=3 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
post_keynesian
derived: score=+0.57, overlap=5 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
austrian
derived: score=-0.39, overlap=5 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=-0.84, overlap=5 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.66, overlap=5 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
empirical_pragmatist
derived: score=-0.28, overlap=5 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
social_democratic
derived: score=-0.22, overlap=5 axes vs social_democratic profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
classical_liberal
derived: score=-0.56, overlap=5 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
democratic_socialist
derived: score=-0.60, overlap=3 axes vs democratic_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
ordoliberal
derived: score=-0.49, overlap=5 axes vs ordoliberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References