Kristersson centre-right bloc with Sweden Democrats (Tidö agreement)
SWE·2022 – present·Moderaterna (M) + Kristdemokraterna (KD) + Liberalerna (L) minority cabinet with Sweden Democrats (SD) parliamentary support via the Tidö Agreement
Leaders: Ulf Kristersson (Prime Minister, 2022-) · Elisabeth Svantesson (Finance Minister, M) · Ebba Busch (Energy/Industry Minister, KD) · Johan Pehrson (L leader) · Jimmie Akesson (SD leader, Tidö support party)
Liberal-conservative fiscal-orthodox alliance on a centre-right to right axis, reshaped by the Tidö Agreement (October 2022) in which the Sweden Democrats exchanged confidence-and-supply for co-determined policy on migration, crime, and energy. Economic content: (i) conventional fiscal-framework discipline (overskottsmal / surplus target, retained fiscal rules) combined with supply-side tax cuts — värnskatt abolition had already landed 2020 but the coalition continued lowering income tax on work, raised ROT/RUT household-services deduction ceilings, and cut fuel/diesel excise (reduktionsplikt rollback 2024); (ii) restrictive migration turn — labour-migration salary threshold raised to median wage November 2023, tightened asylum, return-migration incentive schemes; (iii) law-and-order expansion — visitation zones, expanded wiretap and anonymous-witness legislation, prison capacity buildout; (iv) energy re-pivot — explicit nuclear new-build mandate, credit-guarantee scheme for SMR and large reactors (Finansieringsmodell 2024), roll-back of pre-2022 phase-out posture, electricity-price crisis support (elprisstöd) autumn 2022 and 2023; (v) NATO accession secured (joined March 7 2024) and historic defence-budget ramp to 2% of GDP met 2024, trajectory to 2.6% announced 2024. Proponents frame the package as restoring order, energy adequacy, and fiscal credibility; critics frame it as the first formal mainstreaming of SD influence and a partial break with Swedish consensus liberalism on migration and civil-liberties.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
Tidoavtalet — Overenskommelse för Sverige (14 October 2022)
Prop. 2022/23:1 — Budgetproposition
NATO Accession Protocol for Sweden, ratified March 2024
SOU 2023:24 — Nuclear new-build framework
Klimatpolitiska rådet årsrapport 2024
Migrationsverket statistik 2023-2024; Prop. 2023/24:41 labour-migration threshold
Notes
First Swedish government where SD is a formally documented supporting party via the Tidö Agreement — a structural break in post-war Swedish coalition practice. Popularity: 2022 Riksdag result gave the four-party bloc 176/349 seats (M 68, SD 73, KD 19, L 16); SD became second-largest party. Novus/Demoskop polling through 2024-25 shows SAP leading but the bloc competitive; EU 2024 elections returned SD at ~13% (below Riksdag share) and M at ~17%, with Greens and S gaining. Coherence judgement: coherent on economic-liberal + energy-security + defence content; internally strained on L vs SD axis — the liberal party's base repeatedly challenges Tidö cooperation, a latent fracture point.