IESET.
Movements·uk_may_conservative_2016_2019

UK May Conservative Brexit-negotiation government 2016-2019

GBR·2016 – 2019·Conservative majority (to Jun 2017), then Conservative minority + DUP confidence-and-supply (Jun 2017 - Jul 2019)
Leaders: Theresa May (PM 2016-2019) · Philip Hammond (Chancellor 2016-2019) · David Davis / Dominic Raab / Stephen Barclay (successive Brexit Secretaries)
positionsdevelopmentalismeco_socialistmarket_socialistmarxianmarxist_leninistnew_keynesianpost_keynesianinstitutionalismempirical_pragmatistaustrianchicago_monetarismclassical_liberalsocial_democratic

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Post-Brexit-referendum Conservative government defined by the Article-50 negotiation and its domestic political price. Economically a soft pivot away from Osborne austerity: slower deficit-reduction pace (Hammond's 'fiscal headroom'), industrial-strategy white paper (Nov 2017) reintroducing sector-focused state co-ordination, 'just about managing' rhetoric, and modest public-sector pay-cap relaxation. The signature set piece was the 2017 snap election: called to secure a Brexit mandate, delivered a hung parliament on 42.3% Conservative vs 40.0% Labour (Corbyn surge). Other defining episodes: Grenfell Tower fire (Jun 2017) and cladding-regime scandal; Windrush deportation scandal (Apr 2018) exposing 'hostile environment' immigration regime; and three House-of-Commons defeats of the Withdrawal Agreement (Jan/Mar 2019). Left-right: centre-right with interventionist-industrial tilt. Popularity: started with ~49% approval, collapsed through Brexit paralysis to ~25% by resignation. Coherence: fundamentally low — the Brexit mandate and the parliamentary arithmetic were incompatible after Jun 2017.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↓
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
decreased · moderate
more protectionist
Brexit negotiation trajectory implied friction on goods/services trade with EU-27.
↓
immigration openness
regulatory.immigration_openness
Immigration policy openness — work visas, family reunification, asylum processing, border enforcement posture.
decreased · moderate
more restrictive (lower caps, tighter enforcement)
Hostile-environment continuation; end-of-free-movement commitments in Brexit negotiation.
↑
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
increased · weak
higher spending share
Austerity pace slowed; pay cap relaxation; but deficit still falling.
↑
sectoral subsidy
fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · weak
expanded sectoral subsidies
Industrial Strategy sector deals (aerospace, auto, life sciences, AI).

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
developmentalism
derived: score=+0.93, overlap=3 axes vs national_conservative profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
eco_socialist
derived: score=+0.64, overlap=4 axes vs ecological profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
market_socialist
derived: score=+0.46, overlap=3 axes vs market_socialist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxian
derived: score=+0.99, overlap=3 axes vs marxian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
marxist_leninist
derived: score=+1.00, overlap=3 axes vs marxist_leninist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
new_keynesian
derived: score=+0.51, overlap=4 axes vs new_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
aligned
post_keynesian
derived: score=+0.94, overlap=4 axes vs post_keynesian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
institutionalism
derived: score=-0.32, overlap=3 axes vs institutionalism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
partial
empirical_pragmatist
derived: score=+0.23, overlap=4 axes vs empirical_pragmatist profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
austrian
derived: score=-0.87, overlap=4 axes vs austrian profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
chicago_monetarism
derived: score=-0.98, overlap=3 axes vs chicago_monetarism profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
classical_liberal
derived: score=-0.83, overlap=4 axes vs classical_liberal profile (mechanical backfill v1)
opposed
social_democratic
derived: score=-0.95, overlap=2 axes vs third_way profile (mechanical backfill v1)

References