General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
Three successive IMF Stand-By Arrangements supporting Real-regime stabilisation: (i) November 1998 $41.5B SBA with bilateral BIS/US pre-2002 top-up; (ii) August 2001 $15B augmentation amid Argentine contagion; (iii) September 2002 $30B pre-election SBA containing Lula-risk premium. Each conditioned on primary-surplus targets of 3-4% GDP.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.