Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
Between 2008 and 2010 Brazil's federal development bank BNDES expanded directed credit to large industrial groups, leveraging Treasury capitalisation under successive Provisional Measures and Lei 12.249/2010, in response to the global financial crisis. Subsidised TJLP-rate lending was concentrated in oil & gas, meatpacking, infrastructure and pulp, often via 'national champion' equity stakes through BNDESPar. The intended effect was countercyclical credit support during the GFC, embedded in the Lula-era industrial policy framework.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.