Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
Across the Lula presidency, the federal minimum wage (salario minimo) was increased annually well above CPI, roughly doubling in real terms between 2003 and 2010. The policy was eventually formalised in 2011 (Lei 12382) as a valorisation rule indexing annual real adjustments to lagged GDP growth plus prior-year inflation. Because federal pensions, INSS benefits, and many social transfers are statutorily linked to the minimum wage, the policy operated simultaneously as wage floor and social-spending escalator.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.