Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
In his inaugural address on 29 May 2023 President Bola Tinubu declared "subsidy is gone," ending the decades-old Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) consumer subsidy that had ballooned to an estimated N4+ trillion in 2022. NNPCL adjusted pump prices from ~N195/litre to N488-617/litre within weeks, and to over N1,000/litre by late 2024 following naira depreciation. The removal freed fiscal space but triggered a cost-of-living shock, headline inflation rising from ~22% to a peak of 34.2% in June 2024, and eventually the August 2024 #EndBadGovernance protests.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.