Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program (4Ps) conditional-cash- transfer scheme piloted 2007 in six municipalities, formally launched February 2008 under DSWD. Modelled on Mexico's Oportunidades/Prospera and Brazil's Bolsa Família. Monthly cash grants to poor households with children 0-14 years (expanded to 18 under Aquino III). Conditionalities: ≥85% school attendance, ≥85% pre/postnatal and wellness visits, anti- parasitic deworming. Scaled from ~700k households (2010) to 4.4m households (2015) under Aquino III. Institutionalised by RA 11310 (Aquino III, 2019). Single largest anti-poverty programme in Philippine history; Orbeta & Paqueo (2016) documented school-attendance and health-visit compliance effects.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.