Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Medida Provisória 1.061/2021, converted into Lei 14.284/2021, replaced Bolsa Família with Auxílio Brasil, raising the floor benefit to R$400 (later R$600 via PEC Kamikaze / EC 123/2022 in election-year 2022). Weakened some of the conditionality-monitoring architecture of Bolsa Família (school attendance / health checks) and expanded targeted top-ups (nutritional, sports, rural). Programme was rebranded back to Bolsa Família by Lula III in 2023.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.