General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Statutory and effective corporate tax rates, treatment of depreciation, and international competitiveness.
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
Sector-specific licensing regimes, concentration / quota allocation, state-controlled entry (energy, telecoms, healthcare, banking).
Locked out of capital markets after the 2008 default, Correa's government turned to the China Development Bank and CHEXIM for a series of oil-collateralised loans, project finance, and pre-paid sales agreements. Lending financed hydro projects (Coca Codo Sinclair, Sopladora), refineries, and budget gaps, with repayment in barrels of crude. Total Chinese exposure exceeded USD 17bn by 2017, embedding long-tenor commodity-linked obligations into Ecuador's fiscal stance.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.