General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
Guinea-Bissau entered a three-year IMF Extended Credit Facility in January 2023 to restore macroeconomic stability after pandemic, food-price, and political shocks. The programme targeted domestic revenue mobilisation, wage-bill and expenditure control, arrears clearance, debt sustainability, public financial management, anti-corruption safeguards, and protection of priority social spending.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.
IMF documents are the primary source for the programme matrix and conditionality.