Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
The FY2026 budget added a central-and-local government envelope of about JPY0.7tn for the realisation of so-called tuition-free education, covering high school tuition and elementary-school lunches. It also kept the broader Children and Child-Rearing acceleration plan on track toward JPY3.6tn by FY2028, including childcare benefit conversion and contribution exemptions for freelancers during child-rearing. The policy expands in-kind and near-cash household support in a low-fertility context while being embedded in the administration's broader fiscal-discipline narrative.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.