Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Signed into law on 12 June 2023 establishing the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND) to provide interest-free loans to students in federal and state tertiary institutions. Amended in April 2024 to broaden eligibility (removing family-income cap and guarantor requirements) and funded through a dedicated education levy. Part of Tinubu's Renewed Hope social-offset package accompanying subsidy removal.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.