Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
October 20, 2019 general election; after a 24-hour pause in quick-count transmission the trend swung toward Morales, who was declared first-round winner with the exact ~10-point margin needed to avoid a runoff. OAS electoral-observation audit cited irregularities in the TREP system. Weeks of protest, police mutiny (Nov 8-9), and a military "suggestion" that Morales resign culminated in his November 10 resignation and flight to Mexico. Vice President García Linera and Senate leadership also resigned, producing the constitutional vacancy claimed by Áñez. Subsequent academic studies (MIT, CEPR) disputed OAS fraud findings; the episode remains contested as fraud-vs-coup.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.