Direction of monetary-base expansion decisions relative to trend. Separate from fiscal.transfer_expansion even when correlated.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Colombia experienced moderate contagion from Mexican 1994-95 Tequila crisis and Asian 1997 crisis. GDP growth decelerated from 5.8% (1995) to 2.1% (1996), 3.4% (1997), 0.6% (1998). Banco de la República defended crawling exchange-rate band at cost of high real interest rates (15-20% real). Coffee price collapse 1996-97 compounded external pressure. Fiscal deficit widened 1% → 3.7% GDP. Preceded the 1999 GDP contraction of -4.2% (the deepest Colombian recession of the century).
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.