Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Formal exit from the Third Economic Adjustment Programme on 20 August 2018, marking the end of eight years of Troika/ESM conditionality. Exit conditions: medium-term debt-relief measures agreed at Eurogroup 22 June 2018 (EFSF loan-maturity extension by 10 years, grace-period extension, ANFA/SMP profits return mechanism, €15bn ESM cash buffer to support transition); post- programme enhanced surveillance framework under Regulation (EU) 472/2013 with quarterly European Commission compliance reports; primary-surplus commitment of 3.5% of GDP through 2022; reversibility clauses on pension and tax cuts if primary-surplus target missed. Enhanced surveillance formally ended 20 August 2022 under the Mitsotakis government. Exit timing was optimised around the scheduled July 2019 parliamentary election but coincided with Tsipras's falling approval and SYRIZA eventually lost the election.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.