General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
Armed clash between Ecuador and Peru in the Alto Cenepa valley from 26 January 1995. Contest over the ~78-km disputed stretch left undemarcated by the 1942 Rio de Janeiro Protocol. Ecuador held the positions; Peruvian forces suffered higher casualties at Tiwintza, Base Sur, Cueva de los Tayos. Ceasefire 17 February 1995 through the four Rio Protocol guarantor states (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, US). Itamaraty Peace Declaration 28 October 1998 (under Mahuad/Fujimori) finalised border. Boosted Ecuadorian military prestige and briefly Durán Ballén's popularity.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.