Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Progressivity of the personal income tax schedule, including top marginal rates, bracket spread, and targeted credits (EITC-equivalents).
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
In December 2024 the Mercosur–EU Association Agreement was politically concluded after 25 years of negotiation, covering Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, and the European Union. It commits to removing tariffs on roughly 90% of bilateral trade over 10–15 years, opens EU agricultural quotas for South American beef, poultry, sugar, and ethanol, and includes Paris Agreement and deforestation side-letters. The deal still requires ratification across EU member states and remains a Lula third term external-economic centerpiece.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.